China-linked Japan shares shunned ahead of PM Suga’s US visit

16-Apr-2021 Intellasia | Reuters | 5:02 AM Print This Post

-Japanese firms with strong Chinese ties are seeing their shares fall ahead of a meeting of prime minister Yoshihide Suga and US President Joe Biden, as investors fear pressure to align Japan more closely with Washington’s tough stance on Beijing.

Shippers, retailers and manufacturers of various machines and components with significant dependence on Chinese demand could bear the brunt of further diplomatic tension in the form of trade restrictions or popular boycotts, analysts said.

Suga on Friday will be the first foreign leader to visit the White House since Biden took office in January, widely seen as an indication by both countries as a desire to revitalise their alliance to counter China’s growing clout.

“Suga may be asked to come in step with Washington’s hard-line stance on China, which could worsen Sino-Japanese relations,” said Daiwa Securities’ Chief Technical Analyst Eiji Kinouchi.

Given Japan’s proximity to China, both geographically and economically, any negative impact from worsening relations would be greater on Japan than on Western allies, Kinouchi said.

Japan has taken a softer approach to China, its largest trade partner, on issues as varied as trade and the origins of COVID-19 that have put the world’s most populous country at loggerheads with the United States and its allies.

It stayed out of the West’s coordinated sanctions on Chinese officials last month related to alleged human rights abuses in China’s Xinjiang province, which China has denied.

A senior Biden administration official also said Taiwan and preserving the status quo across the Taiwan Strait would be part of the United States’ upcoming talks with Japan.

“Suga will probably get more vaccines from the US In return, he will likely be pressed to get tough on China. So shares of companies with high exposure to China are now capped,” said Arihiro Nagata, general manager of global investment at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank.


Investors fear any shift by Japan to a more hard-line stance on contentious issues could prompt Chinese retaliation, official or otherwise, against Japanese interests, analysts said.

The stock price index of Japanese shippers, for whom Chinese demand is widely considered vital, has fallen 5.8 percent so far this week, versus a 0.4 percent fall in the broader Nikkei.

Some electronic components makers that had benefited from a global chip shortage have also fallen out of investors’ favour.


Category: China

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