China may try to influence Taiwan public opinion in 2020: NSB

24-Apr-2019 Intellasia | Focus Taiwan | 6:38 AM Print This Post

China may intensify its psychological and legal warfare to influence public opinion leading up to Taiwan’s presidential election in 2020, according to a National Security Bureau (NSB) report.

In the NSB assessment submitted to the Legislative Yuan at the request of legislators, it said China may use the media to create suspicion and hostilities between Taiwan’s people and government as Taiwan will hold presidential and legislative elections in 2020.

It could also use new technology to further sway public opinion and monitor new media as a reference for its research on Taiwan policy, the NSB said in the assessment, which offered projections of what could happen without providing supporting evidence.

Furthermore, China may cultivate online influencers who may be able to sway public opinion on new media platforms to influence young people and scholars, the assessment said.

In terms of psychological warfare, China may use a stick and carrot approach by propagating the success of its preferential policies to attract Taiwanese to China and may also take the opportunity of using the timing of its 70th anniversary founding to terrorise Taiwan by showcasing its military might, the NSB said.

Meanwhile, in terms of legal warfare, China may choose to revise its so-called “Anti-secession Law,” to achieve the purpose of suppressing independence by law, the NSB speculated.

The assessment was actually issued in February but only surfaced in the media the past two days.

After the November 24 local government elections last year, the NSB said that although there was no definite evidence to prove that China intervened in the elections, it did try to manipulate controversial issues and news to create disputes within Taiwanese society.

Citing a headline published by Chinese media claiming President Tsai Ing-wen agreed to reunification, the NSB said many issues and news items were created to influence and change the perception of Taiwanese nationals.


Category: Taiwan

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