Why are Australian officials hinting at war with China?

06-May-2021 Intellasia | CNN | 5:02 AM Print This Post

For a country with a much smaller military and no nuclear weapons, Australia is suddenly hinting an awful lot about a war with China.

On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn’t “be discounted,” adding that Australians needed to be “realistic” about tensions around the region.

The China-Australia relationship is in the doldrums. (CNN)

The China-Australia relationship is in the doldrums. (CNN)

In another Anzac Day message, the top official at Australia’s powerful Home Affairs department, Mike Pezzullo, told his staff “free nations” were hearing the “drums of war” beating again.

A few days later, prime minister Scott Morrison announced $580 million in military upgrades. One week on, several newspapers published a confidential briefing by Australia’s Maj. Gen. Adam Findlay to special forces soldiers, in which he said conflict with China was a “high likelihood.”

The idea of Australia fighting a war against China on its own is ridiculous. Last year, Australia’s military spending was about $27 billion, according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. China’s was estimated to be 10 times higher, for the same period, at about $252 billion, the second highest in the world.

Plus, China is a nuclear power. Australia is not.

Relations between Canberra and Beijing have been in a deep freeze for almost a year, since Morrison and his government infuriated their Chinese counterparts by publicly calling for an investigation into the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic. Since then, Australian exports to China including coal, wheat and wine have faced crippling obstacles.

The Australian government has moved to confront Beijing over allegations of human rights abuses in Xinjiang and Hong Kong, and Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian has joined a chorus of state-run media highlighting Australia’s poor human rights record on refugees and Indigenous Australians.

But much of the war-like rhetoric from Australia is actually driven by domestic politics, said Yun Jiang, managing editor at the Australian National University’s centre on China in the World. The Morrison government is under pressure over allegations it has mishandled its Covid-19 vaccine rollout, and could be looking to shift the focus.

“Focusing on an external enemy has usually been quite effective in uniting public sentiment and rallying around the government,” she said. “I think it’s irresponsible for the government to talk it up like that. War is very serious business.”

The Australian government’s words, however, may reflect real concerns about the possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan a conflict that could ultimately involve the entire Asia region and even the US. But that terrifying prospect, said Yun, is likely why other US allies in closer proximity to Beijing’s sphere of influence, such as South Korea and Japan, aren’t echoing Canberra’s aggressive language.

The divorce of Bill and Melinda Gates has sent shockwaves though China, where the Microsoft co-founder has achieved a level of fame unlike almost any other Western entrepreneur.

The “Bill Gates’ divorce” hashtag had generated more than 810 million views and 65,000 discussion posts on China’s Twitter-like platform Weibo by Wednesday far surpassing the 91 million views accumulated when Amazon founder Jeff Bezos divorced MacKenzie Scott in 2019.

Chinese Weibo users fretted about everything from how the couple would divide their massive fortune to whether the divorce would affect Microsoft or their foundation. Through their philanthropic organisation, the pair have spent $53.8 billion on global health, poverty alleviation and other initiatives. (Bill Gates is worth about $146 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, and the couple has pledged to give the vast majority of their wealth away to charity.)

Even prominent tech figures in China joined the conversation: Kai-fu Lee the former head of Google China, who helped establish Microsoft Research Lab Asia, a hugely influential network in China said it was hard for him to believe the news. Bill and Melinda are “the most affectionate couple I’ve seen among celebrity entrepreneurs,” he said in a Weibo post.

The intense interest may, in part, be an unintentional result of Microsoft’s China strategy. While Bill Gates no longer runs Microsoft, the company has spent decades building goodwill with Beijing. Its products have a considerable presence in China, even as other Western tech companies have been locked out. And that’s likely contributed to Bill Gates’ personal draw he now has more than 4.1 million followers on Weibo, outnumbering Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s 1.7 million and Apple chief Tim Cook’s 1.4 million.




Category: China

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